Gig Book News

The Black Swan



PDF, ebook, epub (ePub, fb2, mobi)

The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb "The most prophetic voice of all."-GQ Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking."-The Times (London) "A masterpiece."-Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant."-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times "The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy."-The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into."-Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition."-The New York Times Book Review






The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb "The most prophetic voice of all."-GQ Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking."-The Times (London) "A masterpiece."-Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant."-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times "The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy."-The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into."-Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition."-The New York Times Book Review


Housed in a beautifullyrestored 1930s landmark The Black Swan is a stunning anomaly in its businesscentric setting. The Black Swan Group offers negotiation training for businesses and individuals. The story is conveyed mostly from the point of view of . It was based on the 1932 novel of the same title by Rafael Sabatini. The atmosphere was mixed with both party goers and those who just wanted to enjoy their drinks and watch the crowd.


Black Swan Book

The Black Swan Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Black Swan is a 2010 American psychological horror film directed by Darren Aronofsky. 37 Full PDFs related to this paper. A black swan event is a significant unexpected event that has huge consequences such as the banking collapse of 2008 or a terrorist attack such as 911. Im sure I wouldve gone to see it every night of the week if I saw this movie nearly 70 years ago. The Coronavirus COVID19 is a Black Swan event. Black Swan Facts and Profile Black Swan Also known as B.S. Antounie Caen a Dutch mariner was the first European to see the incredible sight of Australian black swans in 1636 in Shark . Chris Voss is the CEO Founder of The Black Swan Group Ltd Author of Never Split The Difference Negotiating As If Your Life Depended On It. The Black Swan Scene On Stage. More About Maya. The screenplay was written by Mark Heyman John McLaughlin and . The attitude of the author is so pompous and pretentious and tinged with insecurity and even selfloathing that it is literally uncomfortable to listen to.


E-książki online w formacie PDF The Black Swan PDF. E-książki PDF do czytnika .

Black Swan Nassim



Gig Book News Links


Contact Email